Nigeria Seen Unable to Avert Naira Devaluation Past 2021

Nigeria Seen Unable to Avert Naira Devaluation Past 2021

LAGOS (Capital Markets in Africa) – Dwindling reserves and lower oil prices will probably force the Nigerian central bank to devalue one of the world’s most stable currencies by next year, according to a Bloomberg survey of investors and analysts. Ten out of 19 respondents expect the naira to be weakened in 2021, while five predict a mark-down as early as the second half of this year. The remainder believes the central bank will keep…

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World’s Best Carry Trade Thrives With Egypt’s Rates on Pause

World’s Best Carry Trade Thrives With Egypt’s Rates on Pause

CAIRO (Capital Markets in Africa) – The world’s best carry trade is proving resilient, especially now that a pause in Egypt’s easing cycle keeps its interest rates elevated. The Egyptian pound is delivering another strong performance this year following a record appreciation in 2019. That’s enticing traders who borrow in currencies where rates are low and invest in the assets of countries where they are high to turn to Egypt. Even with inflation well below the central…

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Banks Cashing In as Zambia Pursues Costly Borrowing Path

Banks Cashing In as Zambia Pursues Costly Borrowing Path

LUSAKA (Capital Markets in Africa) – Zambia’s government debt is yielding as much as 33% thanks to a widening budget deficit, and there’s one clear winner: local banks, which are reaping record profits. Standard Bank Group Ltd.’s Zambian unit earned more in the country in 2019 than any lender ever has, according to a statement by the company, Stanbic Bank Zambia Ltd. That’s partially due to rising interest income from holdings of government securities, and in a…

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Kenya Favors Domestic Loans After Dollar-Debt Binge Proves Risky

Kenya Favors Domestic Loans After Dollar-Debt Binge Proves Risky

NAIROBI (Capital Markets in Africa) – Kenya will rely on domestic borrowing to fund budget deficits in a new debt-management strategy to reduce the fiscal risks arising from a binge on Eurobonds and syndicated loans. Treasury officials of East Africa’s biggest economy are targeting domestic borrowing at 72% of the total in the next three fiscal years, according to a medium-term debt-management strategy presented to lawmakers on Thursday. That compares with a previous three-year target…

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Botswana Seeks New De Beers Diamond Sales Deal by End-April

Botswana Seeks New De Beers Diamond Sales Deal by End-April

GABORONE (Capital Markets in Africa) – Botswana plans to conclude negotiations with De Beers on a diamond sales agreement by the end of April to replace the current 10-year deal that expires in January. The government wants to see more gems cut and polished within the borders of the world’s second-biggest biggest diamond producer, creating jobs and boosting the state coffers, according to Lefoko Moagi, the minister of mineral resources, green technology, and energy security….

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Fitch Says Ramaphosa Speech Flags South Africa Credit Challenges

Fitch Says Ramaphosa Speech Flags South Africa Credit Challenges

JOHANNESBURG (Capital Markets in Africa) – The challenges to South Africa’s credit outlook was highlighted by President Cyril Ramaphosa’s state-of-the-nation address, Fitch Ratings said. While Ramaphosa promised progress in his speech on Thursday, he offered only partial detail on key policy areas, including stabilizing the electricity sector, improving public finances, accelerating economic growth and land reform, the rating company said in an emailed statement on Friday. Ramaphosa announced changes to the nation’s electricity industry to…

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Sibanye Sees Profit on Metals Rally With Dividends in Sight

Sibanye Sees Profit on Metals Rally With Dividends in Sight

LAGOS (Capital Markets in Africa) – Sibanye Gold Ltd. said it swung to an annual profit last year, bringing the company another step closer to resuming dividend payouts. Sibanye is among South African producers benefiting from a rally in platinum, palladium and rhodium prices and a weaker South African rand that lowers costs for producers. Chief Executive Officer Neal Froneman said last month Sibanye may declare its first dividend in three years in August. The world’s largest platinum miner expects…

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