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South Africa Rate-Hike Bets Jump on Upside Risks to Inflation
JOHANNESBURG (Capital Markets in Africa) – Traders raised bets that South Africa’s central bank will raise interest rates in November after it warned of upside risks to its inflation outlook. Forward-rate agreements starting in two months, used to speculate on borrowing costs, are now pricing in almost 40 basis points of tightening by year-end. Less than a week ago, those contracts were predicting just an 80% probability of a quarter-point increase, before the South African…
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