Rush of Bets on Imminent BOE Cut Leaves Analysts Urging Caution

Rush of Bets on Imminent BOE Cut Leaves Analysts Urging Caution

LONDON (Capital Markets in Africa) – Pound traders piling into bets on an interest-rate cut this month are getting a warning from strategists preaching the virtue of patience. Bank of New York Mellon and Nomura International are calling for calm after the market became the most aggressive on an imminent rate cut from the Bank of England since 2016, pricing in a more than 60% chance. They recommend waiting for more evidence of the economic…

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Charts Showing South Africa Central Bank Data That Triggered Cut

Charts Showing South Africa Central Bank Data That Triggered Cut

JOHANNESBURG (Capital Markets in Africa) -Two months can be a long time in central banking, and if you are the South African Reserve Bank it can mean bringing an interest rate cut forward and a move to signaling even more. The Reserve Bank’s monetary policy committee unexpectedly cut its key rate to 6.25% from 6.5% on Thursday, a move predicted by only three of the 19 economists surveyed by Bloomberg. These charts show how the…

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U.K. Inflation Slowdown Ramps Up View a Rate Cut Is Imminent

U.K. Inflation Slowdown Ramps Up View a Rate Cut Is Imminent

LONDON (Capital Markets in Africa) – The path to a Bank of England interest-rate cut as soon as this month became clearer on Wednesday after inflation unexpectedly slowed to a three-year low. The pound fell and traders increased bets that policymakers would reduce rates on Jan. 30, as the shock reading reinforced speculation fueled by dovish comments from BOE Governor Mark Carney and others in recent days. Less than an hour earlier, policymaker Michael Saunders, who’s been…

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BOE’s Dovish Shift Sees More Calls for January Rate Cut

BOE’s Dovish Shift Sees More Calls for January Rate Cut

LONDON (Capital Markets in Africa) – The Bank of England’s dovish shift in the past week has already rippled through markets, and now economists are starting to react too. NatWest Markets, a division of Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc, changed its interest-rate forecast and now sees a cut to 0.5% from 0.75% at this month’s meeting. Economist Ross Walker sees a second reduction later in the year, having previously predicted no move by the BOE at…

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South Africa Risks Becoming a ‘Forgotten Country,’ RMB CEO Says

South Africa Risks Becoming a ‘Forgotten Country,’ RMB CEO Says

JOHANNESBURG (Capital Markets in Africa) – South Africa must move quickly to implement the reforms needed to salvage its status as an investment destination and breathe life into the struggling economy. “SA is rapidly becoming a forgotten country and has stopped being talked about as an investment destination,” James Formby, the chief executive officer of FirstRand Ltd.’s Rand Merchant Bank, wrote in Johannesburg-based newspaper Business Day. “It’s no longer five to midnight, it is midnight. We cannot…

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ABIDJAN (Capital Markets in Africa) – NSIA Group’s banking unit plans to expand in the 12 West and Central African countries where the Ivorian company has insurance businesses. NSIA Banque first wants to establish a firm presence in the West African Economic and Monetary Union before looking “outside the zone,” Managing Director Leonce Yace said in an interview at the bank’s headquarters in Abidjan, the economic capital of Ivory Coast. The lender recently completed the acquisition…

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More Zimbabwe Bank Jobs at Risk as Lenders Push Digitization

More Zimbabwe Bank Jobs at Risk as Lenders Push Digitization

HARARE (Capital Markets in Africa) – After shedding 8% of their workforce last year, Zimbabwean banks may cut more jobs in 2020 as the economy shrivels and the sector increasingly shifts away from cash and toward digital services. “The banking industry, just like the rest of the economy, will suffer negative growth this year, which could result in even more job cuts,” said Sijabuliso Biyam, the chief executive officer of the Bankers Association of Zimbabwe. “The sector…

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