Commodities Weekly – Framing tariff-induced stagflation risks

Commodities Weekly – Framing tariff-induced stagflation risks

LONDON, Capital Markets in Africa – President Trump has imposed towering tariffs on all countries. These tariffs have a distinctly stagflationary flavour. They push up import prices that then pass through into higher consumer goods prices and inflation – acting as a tax on spending and, thus, creating a corresponding drag on economic growth. In such a textbook stagflationary environment as today, a portfolio allocation to commodities – as real physical assets – have historically…

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21st Edition Connected Banking Summit – Innovation & Excellence Awards 2025

21st Edition Connected Banking Summit – Innovation & Excellence Awards 2025

Johannesburg, South Africa – As the countdown begins, Johannesburg prepares to host one of the most anticipated gatherings in the financial services sector — the 21st Edition Connected Banking Summit Innovation & Excellence Awards 2025 – Southern Africa, taking place on May 21, 2025. Hosted under the theme “Shaping the Future of Banking in Southern Africa: Innovation, Connectivity, and Financial Resilience,” the summit will bring together visionaries and industry leaders from banking, fintech, financial services,…

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Expert Opinion: Trump 2.0 Impact on Emerging Markets?

Expert Opinion: Trump 2.0 Impact on Emerging Markets?

John Ewart, Investment Manager of the Aubrey Global Emerging Markets Fund, offers his expert views on impact of second coming of President Trump on the emerging market investments, particularly in regions such as China and India. “Hola amigos, estoy de vuelta!” There are few politicians that command immediate attention on the global stage, and facilitate a 24/7 dissection of their statements, policies, and demands. The incoming President Trump is certainly one of them. Clearly the US…

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Nigeria: 2025 Economic Outlook – Pressure to Plateau

Nigeria: 2025 Economic Outlook – Pressure to Plateau

LAGOS (Capital Markets in Africa): As we welcome 2025, it is expected that the year will offer a mix of challenges and opportunities. Nigeria’s economy is poised to grow at its fastest pace since 2014, with GDP growth expected to reach 3.7% on the back of healthy performances in oil & gas and manufacturing. Inflation is projected to moderate, and the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) is likely to lower interest rates in the second…

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Candriam 2025 Outlook: Is China Really Better Prepared for Trump 2.0?

Candriam 2025 Outlook: Is China Really Better Prepared for Trump 2.0?

With the threat of tariffs looming under a potential Trump return, can China’s stimulus and reforms protect its economy? With Donald Trump returning to the White House in 2025, his second term is likely to see a resurgence of tariffs and export restrictions among other things, raising concerns about China’s ability to withstand a resurgence of ‘America First’ policies.  While Mexico surpassed China as the U.S.’s largest trading partner in 2023, China remains a key…

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Africa Today’s main economic and political developments across the continent

Africa Today’s main economic and political developments across the continent

LAGOS (Capital Markets in Africa): While this week’s CPI print in South Africa changed the discussion from whether the Sarb will cut in September to by how much, other smaller central banks seem to be well ahead of the curve. North of the border, Botswana’s central bank has recently implemented its second 25-bps policy rate cut this year. Another cut is expected in 2024. Meanwhile, Rwanda, too, has implemented a second-consecutive policy rate cut, with…

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Alejandro Betancourt López’s Vision for Mobile Banking in Africa’s Financial Growth

Alejandro Betancourt López’s Vision for Mobile Banking in Africa’s Financial Growth

LAGOS (Capital Markets in Africa): Mobile banking has emerged as a game changer in Africa, offering innovative solutions to financial inclusion and economic development. Entrepreneur and investor Alejandro Betancourt López believes mobile banking has opened new avenues for financial services, especially in regions with limited access to traditional banking infrastructure.  Alejandro Betancourt López emphasizes the importance of mobile banking in his blog post “Importance of Mobile Banking in Africa’s Financial Development.” Betancourt López wrote that…

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