AFRICA PREVIEW: Rate Caution to Prevail in Kenya, Ghana, Angola

AFRICA PREVIEW: Rate Caution to Prevail in Kenya, Ghana, Angola

LAGOS (Capital Markets in Africa) – Central banks in Kenya and Ghana are likely to keep interest rates on hold next week following in the foot steps of their larger peers in South Africa and Nigeria. Angola’s central bank is also set to leave interest rates alone as it aims to slow inflation even as it lets the currency weaken. Nigeria kept its key rate unchanged at 13.5% on May 21 and the South African…

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Moody’s Cuts Zambia Deeper Into Junk on Higher Default Risk

Moody’s Cuts Zambia Deeper Into Junk on Higher Default Risk

LUSAKA (Capital Markets in Africa) – Moody’s Investors Service has cut its assessment of Zambia’s debt deep into junk territory citing a rising probability of default. Moody’s downgraded the southern African nation’s long-term foreign-debt rating to Caa2 — the fourth-lowest junk assessment — from Caa1 and reduced the outlook to negative, it said in an emailed statement Thursday. The higher risk of a default “reflects increasing credit challenges stemming from rising debt levels,” exacerbated by…

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What African Central Bankers May Decide in the Next 2 Weeks

What African Central Bankers May Decide in the Next 2 Weeks

LAGOS (Capital Markets in Africa) – Central banks in sub-Saharan Africa’s largest economies could start diverging on policy when they make interest-rate calls in the next two weeks after oil prices pushed up inflation. Since the Monetary Policy Committees last met, inflation in Ghana and Kenya accelerated and analysts flagged that the South African economy probably contracted in the first quarter. Oil is adding to cost pressures and countering the positive effects of portfolio inflows and the support to…

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Nigerian, Zimbabwe and Ghana Inflation Accelerates in April

Nigerian, Zimbabwe and Ghana Inflation Accelerates in April

LAGOS (Capital Markets in Africa) – Nigerian inflation accelerated in April as food-price growth quickened. Consumer prices in Africa’s largest oil producer rose 11.4% from a year earlier, compared with 11.3% in March, the Abuja-based National Bureau of Statistics said in a report published Wednesday on Twitter. Prices rose 0.94% in the month. The pick-up in inflation could limit the room for the central bank to loosen policy further when it decides on interest rates…

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Ramaphosa’s Quandary: a Team to Revive South African Economy

Ramaphosa’s Quandary: a Team to Revive South African Economy

JOHANNESBURG (Capital Markets in Africa) – South African President Cyril Ramaphosa’s triumph in guiding his African National Congress to a sixth straight election victory has left him with an even more formidable challenge: to pick a cabinet that can dismantle a shadow state of corruption and revive the flagging economy. His window of opportunity to install an administration free of ministers tainted by graft and to impose tough economic reforms, without deepening rifts in an already-divided…

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Ramaphosa Revives South African Advisory Unit to Drive Policy

Ramaphosa Revives South African Advisory Unit to Drive Policy

JOHANNESBURG (Capital Markets in Africa) – South African President Cyril Ramaphosa has reinstated an advisory unit in the office of the presidency as he seeks to speed up policy execution. “The presidency’s policy and research unit has been established and is modeled on a similar unit that existed during former President Thabo Mbeki’s time,” Khusela Diko, Ramaphosa’s spokeswoman, said by phone from Pretoria. “It will advise the presidency on policy and implementation of policy, and that service will also…

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Kenya’s Economy Grows at Fastest Pace in Eight Years in 2018

Kenya’s Economy Grows at Fastest Pace in Eight Years in 2018

NAIROBI (Capital Markets in Africa) – Kenya’s economy expanded at the fastest pace in eight years in 2018 and may grow at a similar rate this year, Treasury Secretary Henry Rotich said. Gross domestic product climbed 6.3 percent from a year earlier, Kenya National Bureau of Statistics Director-General Zachary Mwangi told reporters Thursday in the capital, Nairobi. That’s the biggest annual increase since 2010, when East Africa’s largest economy grew by 8.4 percent. “Our estimate was 6…

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