Economy

LAGOS (Capital Markets in Africa) – Growth in Africa’s two largest economies may be sputtering along but that won’t stop the continent’s gross domestic product from expanding at the fastest pace since at least 2012. GDP growth for the continent is forecast to accelerate to 4 percent this year, up from an estimated 3.5 percent in 2018, making it the fastest-growing region in the world after Asia, according to the African Development Bank. And that’s…

LAGOS (Capital Markets in Africa) – The International Monetary Fund said Nigeria’s economy was growing too slowly to reduce poverty or joblessness and urged the government to boost revenue and scrap its system of multiple exchange rates. “Growth is not enough,” Amine Mati, the IMF’s mission chief for Nigeria, said in an interview in Lagos on Wednesday as the Washington-based lender released its latest Article IV report for Africa’s biggest oil producer. “Our number-one recommendation…

JOHANNESBURG (Capital Markets in Africa) – Moody’s Investors Service’s brief comment on South Africa’s credit ratingsparked the rand’s strongest rally in five months on Monday and drove government bond yields to the lowest since May. More importantly, it bought President Cyril Ramaphosa more time to convince investors he has the ability to introduce reforms that would stimulate the economy, consolidate government spending and reduce corruption in Africa’s most industrialized economy. The rating company on Friday deferred a scheduled…

ACCRA (Capital Markets in Africa)  – For the 16th time since the 1960s, Ghana is wrapping up a financial bailout from the International Monetary Fund and stepping away from the lender’s oversight. Now, it’s up to one of Africa’s perennial overspenders to show that it can stick to a budget. The previous time Ghana was in this position was in July 2012, five months before general elections, the country recorded the first of three consecutive…

JOHANNESBURG (Capital Markets in Africa) – South Africa may just be able to cling onto the stable outlook of its sole investment-grade rating this week, helping it stay clear of a forced selloff of billions of rand of its debt. Economists are divided on what Moody’s Investors Service will do when it potentially makes an announcement on South Africa’s credit assessment Friday. Half the participants in a Bloomberg survey expect it to maintain a stable…

LAGOS (Capital Markets in Africa) – Sub-Saharan Africa should benefit from stronger economic activity in Nigeria and South Africa this year. But we expect this recovery to be temporary. A weak investment climate and a high reliance on commodity exports will probably come back to haunt Africa’s two largest economies. Second-tier economies, such as Ghana, Ivory Coast, Kenya and Senegal are likely to keep expanding strongly in the near term, although they are testing critical…

JOHANNESBURG (Capital Markets in Africa) – South Africa’s annual inflation rate rose for the first time in three months in February as food and transport prices increased. Consumer-price growth accelerated to 4.1 percent from a year earlier compared with 4 percent in January. That matched the median estimate in a Bloomberg survey of 17 economists. Key Insights Core inflation, which excludes the prices of food, non-alcoholic beverages, fuel and electricity, was 4.4 percent, matching the…