AFRICA INSIGHT: Next Debt Crisis Won’t Be China’s Doing

AFRICA INSIGHT: Next Debt Crisis Won’t Be China’s Doing

LAGOS (Capital Markets in Africa) – China has lent and will lend huge sums to African countries, creating concerns they are becoming too indebted. But rather than Chinese activity, which is increasingly a good thing for Africa, the bigger debt risk comes from Eurobonds issuance. Lending from China has risen, partly due to the Belt and Road Initiative. A narrower focus of this lending to support infrastructure projects will lift the continent’s debt-servicing capacity in…

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South African PMI Shows First Factory Growth in Three Months

South African PMI Shows First Factory Growth in Three Months

JOHANNESBURG (Capital Markets in Africa) – An index tracking South African manufacturing activity rose for the first month in three in July, but this was tempered by a lowering of expectations for future business conditions. The purchasing managers’ index compiled by the Stellenbosch-based Bureau for Economic Research and Absa Bank Ltd. climbed to 51.5 in July from 47.9 in June. A reading above 50 indicates growth in the factory sector. This is the highest reading since May…

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Ramaphosa Shine Fades as Reality Bites South African Economy

Ramaphosa Shine Fades as Reality Bites South African Economy

JOHANNESBURG (Capital Markets in Africa) – Economic and political problems are piling up for Cyril Ramaphosa, dampening the euphoria that accompanied his ascension to the South African presidency. A labor union boss turned business tycoon, Ramaphosa took office in February after the ruling African National Congress forced Jacob Zuma to resign following a scandal-tainted tenure that lasted almost nine years. While Ramaphosa initially won plaudits from investors and the public for instigating a crackdown on graft, sentiment has…

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Ghana’s Economy Likely up to 40% Bigger, Reuters Reports

Ghana’s Economy Likely up to 40% Bigger, Reuters Reports

ACCRA (Capital Markets in Africa) – Ghana’s economy could be as much as 40 percent bigger when the statistics agency publishes overhauled data on output in September, Reuters reported, citing government officials it didn’t identified. A bigger gross domestic product could improve Ghana’s debt ratio and get the government closer to achieving its budget-deficit target of 4.5 percent of GDP this year. The $45-billion economy is the seventh biggest in sub-Saharan Africa and one of…

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Egypt Inflation Rate Accelerates for First Time in 11 Months

Egypt Inflation Rate Accelerates for First Time in 11 Months

CAIRO (Capital Markets in Africa) – Egypt’s inflation accelerated for the first time in 11 months in June after the government slashed fuel and electricity subsidies to help reduce the budget deficit. Inflation in urban parts of the country, the rate closely watched by the central bank, climbed to 14.4 percent from 11.4 percent in May, according to the state statistics agency. Prices rose 3.5 percent on the month, the most since January last year….

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Kenya’s Big Four Agenda No Silver Bullet for Economy, BMI Says

Kenya’s Big Four Agenda No Silver Bullet for Economy, BMI Says

NAIROBI (Capital Markets in Africa) – Kenya’s Big Four agenda, a set of development goals geared at fuelling output, will not necessarily drive economic growth to the targeted 7 percent from 2020 to 2022, according to BMI Research. A key hurdle is the government’s weak fiscal position, with debt projected to cross the 60 percent to gross domestic product threshold in 2018, the Fitch Group unit said in a note. East Africa’s biggest economy’s chief development…

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IMF Urges Egypt to Watch Inflation After New Subsidy Cuts

IMF Urges Egypt to Watch Inflation After New Subsidy Cuts

CAIRO (Capital Markets in Africa) – The International Monetary Fund urged Egypt to maintain a tight monetary policy as a new round of subsidy cuts rekindled inflation worries. The Washington-based lender praised Egypt’s implementation of economic reforms as “instrumental in achieving macroeconomic stabilization, with external and fiscal deficits narrowing, inflation and unemployment declining, and growth accelerating.” At the same time, the central bank “should retain its restrictive stance to counter second-round effects of fuel and electricity price increases,”…

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