Economy | - Part 53

IMF Sees Ugandan Growth Rebound in 2017-18 on Infrastructure

KAMPALA (Capital Markets in Africa) – Economic growth in Uganda may accelerate in the coming fiscal year, underpinned by government spending on infrastructure and an anticipated recovery in lending to the private sector, according to the International Monetary Fund. The growth rate may increase to 5.5 percent in the 12 months through June 2018, compared with an estimated 4.5 percent this year and 4.8 percent in the prior 12-month period, Clara Mira, IMF’s resident representative…

Côte d’Ivoire and Ghana Resilient to Credit Pressure from 10-yr low in Cocoa Prices

Posted on by The Editorial Team

LONDON (Capital Markets in Africa) – While cocoa prices at 10-year lows will put pressure on the economies and fiscal position of leading producers Côte d’Ivoire and Ghana, both will be able to withstand short-term price fluctuations, Moody’s Investors Service said in a report today. Current average cocoa prices reflect a drop of around 30% compared to mid-2016. The report, “Sovereigns — Africa: Côte d’Ivoire and Ghana Resilient to Credit Pressures from Fall in Cocoa…

South Africa’s credit rating downgraded to junk by S&P after finmin changed

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JOHANNESBURG (Capital Markets in Africa) – S&P Global Ratings downgraded South Africa’s sovereign credit rating to BB+ from BBB- grade on Monday, saying the recent firing of its internationally respected finance minister posed a risk fiscal policy. The rand fell by as much 2 percent to the dollar in response to the news of the downgrade, while government bonds also weakened sharply. “The downgrade reflects our view that the divisions in the ANC-led government that…

South African Assets Tumble as Gloom Pervades Fiscal Outlook

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JOHANNESBURG (Capital Markets in Africa) – South African bank stocks tumbled and bonds plunged as the rand headed for its biggest weekly slide since 2015 after the firing of Finance Minister Pravin Gordhan raised concerns about the country’s fiscal path and its investment-grade credit rating. The rand dropped as much as 2.6 percent before paring the decline to trade 0.9 percent weaker at 13.3995 per dollar by 5:15 p.m. in Johannesburg, heading for a seven-week low. Benchmark…

IMF Urges Nigeria to Start Belt Tightening, Cut Naira Curbs

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LAGOA (Capital Markets in Africa) – Nigeria should remove currency-trading restrictions and reduce its budget deficit and debt-service costs to “sustainable” levels, the International Monetary Fund said. “Stronger macroeconomic policies are urgently needed to rebuild confidence and foster an economic recovery,” the Washington-based lender said in a report Thursday after a team visited Nigeria. There’s a “need for a front-loaded, revenue-based fiscal consolidation starting in 2017, to reduce the federal government interest-payments-to-revenue ratio to sustainable levels.” The…

Kenyan Inflation Jumps to Five-Year High as Drought Bites

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NAIROBI (Capital Markets in Africa) -Kenya’s annual inflation rate accelerated to its highest level in almost five years as an ongoing drought compounds price pressures. Consumer prices surged 10.3 percent in March from 9 percent in February, the Kenya National Bureau of Statistics said in a statement emailed from the capital, Nairobi, when they broke through the Central Bank of Kenya’s 7.5 percent ceiling. The rate is the highest since June 2012 when inflation registered at…

Moody’s: Egypt’s IMF program to support fiscal and external position, reform pace may slip

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CAIRO (Capital Markets in Africa) – While Egypt’s IMF program will support gradual improvements to the country’s fiscal and external position, its social and economic costs risk slowing the pace of fiscal reform momentum, Moody’s Investors Service said in a report today. The report, “Government of Egypt – IMF Program Supports Gradual Fiscal, External Improvements”, is now available on www.moodys.com. Moody’s subscribers can access this report via the link at the end of this press…

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