Economy

LAGOS (Capital Markets in Africa) — Nigeria’s economy unexpectedly came out of a recession in the fourth quarter as restrictions to curb the spread of the coronavirus were eased. The Gross domestic product grew 0.11% in the three months through December from a year earlier, compared with a decline of 3.6% in the third quarter, the Abuja-based National Bureau of Statistics said on its website on Thursday. The median estimate of five economists in a…

LAGOS (Capital Markets in Africa) — The economic damage wrought by the coronavirus will probably lead more African nations to seek debt restructuring, the head of the United Nations Economic Commission for Africa said. Chad last month became the first state in Africa to request relief under a Group of 20 initiative to help countries cope with the economic fallout from the pandemic. Ethiopia applied two days later, followed by Zambia, which last year became…

CAIRO (Capital Markets in Africa) — Egyptian inflation slowed for a second month, giving the central bank more leeway to make its first interest-rate cut since November. Consumer prices in urban parts of Egypt grew an annual 4.3% in January, compared with 5.4% in December, the state-run statistics agency CAPMAS said Wednesday. The slowdown was driven by a decline in food and beverage prices, the single largest component of the inflation basket, which dropped 0.5%…

LAGOS (Capital Markets in Africa) — The Central Bank of Nigeria is likely to keep rates on hold on today as it bids to support the recovery amid the second wave of Covid-19 infections. Inflation is surging, but policymakers view the above-target rate as unavoidable, with supply bottlenecks being amplified by the pandemic. The rate decision is expected at 1 p.m. London time. Activity in Nigeria has shown signs of improvement since the gradual opening…

JOHANNESBURG (Capital Markets in Africa) — In 2020, emerging market debt rocketed higher. Has necessary pandemic stimulus planted the seeds of future fiscal crisis? Bloomberg Economics’ analysis shows South Africa is vulnerable but Brazil, India, Indonesia, Mexico, and Russia are less exposed. Persistently low-interest rates partially offset the impact of higher borrowing. An increase in interest rates would raise the pressure, but from current low levels, the impact is likely manageable. Most of the debt…

NAIROBI (Capital Markets in Africa) — Kenya’s economy is expected to expand this year as activity resumes following Covid-19 lockdowns, boosting tax revenue and government spending. East Africa’s largest economy will probably expand 6.4% this year and growth will slow to 5.5% in 2022, with scheduled elections likely to dampen activity, Treasury said in a report on its website. The Treasury estimates that gross domestic product increased 0.6% in 2020, which would make it one…