Looking into 2016: A Change in Nigerian Market Sentiments, Signs to Watch

Looking into 2016: A Change in Nigerian Market Sentiments, Signs to Watch

The Nigerian equities market has sustained a bearish run for most of 2015 as issues ranging from a fragile polity, foreign exchange restrictions, stifling monetary policy stance, weakening domestic growth and rising inflationary pressure have weighed in to weaken investor sentiment. While the victory of President Buhari at the polls boosted investor confidence between April and May, the five months of waiting before the eventual inauguration of the cabinet on 11th November 2015 has had a…

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Fact from History: Is the party begins for Nigeria’s Equity Investors?

Fact from History: Is the party begins for Nigeria’s Equity Investors?

LAGOS, Nigeria, Capital Markets in Africa — The Nigeria’s Central Bank reduced its Monetary Policy Rates (MPR) by 200 basis points to 11.00 percent against market expectations and the country  macroeconomic fundamental outlook. The question is how will Nigerian equity markets reacts to this development? Many investors believe that when rates fall, the party begins for stock prices and rate hike is the party is over for stock prices. Is the party begins for Nigerian…

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Nigeria’s GDP Grows by 2.8% Y-o-Y in third quarter of 2015 … Brace for Impact?

Nigeria’s GDP Grows by 2.8% Y-o-Y in third quarter of 2015 … Brace for Impact?

LAGOS, Nigeria, Capital Markets in Africa — The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) released its Q3:2015 GDP report yesterday; which showed that in spite of the macroeconomic challenges faced during the period, the economy grew 2.8% Y-o-Y (to N18.0tn) in the quarter, 0.5% higher than Q2:2015 Y-o-Y growth (2.4%) but 3.4% lower than Q3:2014 (6.2%, Y-o-Y). The report also indicated that Q-o-Q, the economy expanded 9.2% in real terms, an improvement over 2.6%Q-o-Q growth recorded…

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Investment in Africa: Managing Currency Risk — Andrew Gillespie

Investment in Africa: Managing Currency Risk — Andrew Gillespie

Volatility is not a new word for investors in Africa. Events of 2014 and this year across the continent highlight this – especially in the continent’s currency markets. Irrespective of the market, or country; be it via private equity, listed equity, fixed income, or underlying trade and capital flows – managing FX volatility and risk is a constant feature of the evaluation process. For most participants, it is often a frustrating, opaque and expensive exercise,…

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African Economic Watch: African Countries Release October Inflation Rates Statistics …

African Economic Watch: African Countries Release October Inflation Rates Statistics …

Lagos, Nigeria, Capital Markets in Africa — Most of the African countries released the inflation rates figure for October in the week ending Sunday 15 November 2015. South Africa also released the production figures for the mining and manufacturing sector and Tanzania’s M3 money supply September data were also released by the Bank of Tanzania.   Sudan’s annual inflation rate eased to 13.37 percent in October from a revised 13.56 percent in September, a monthly report…

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Africa Equity Weekly | 13 Nov 2015: Uganda, Kenya in the positive but Egypt, Nigeria, South Africa in the red zone …

Africa Equity Weekly | 13 Nov 2015: Uganda, Kenya in the positive but Egypt, Nigeria, South Africa in the red zone …

Lagos, Nigeria, Capital Markets in Africa — It was a bearish mood this week for most equity markets as news flows from several markets dampened investors’ sentiments.  Equally, the impressive US October jobs report released last week which moved the US Fed closer to raising its benchmark interest rate during its next meeting in December further spurred sell-offs in equities. The African equity markets ended in the red zone at the end of Friday 13 November 2015,…

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Chart of the Week: Market Implied Probabilities of Changes in US Fed Rate ….

Chart of the Week: Market Implied Probabilities of Changes in US Fed Rate ….

Lagos, Nigeria, Capital Markets in Africa — The market is now significantly more confident of a Federal Reserve hike in interest rates in December, as US payroll numbers released on Friday 6th November 2015 significantly beat analyst expectations. US non-farm payroll jobs grew by 271,000 in October, compared analyst expectations of 150,00-190,000, and well above the 142,000 increase in September.  Whereas the unemployment remained at 5.0 percent and average hourly earnings for non-farm employees rose…

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