Nigeria Seen Devaluing Naira by as Much as 10% in 2021: Survey

Nigeria Seen Devaluing Naira by as Much as 10% in 2021: Survey

LAGOS(Capital Markets in Africa) — Nigeria’s central bank will probably devalue the naira by as much as 10% this year amid a lingering dollar shortage in Africa’s top oil producer, according to a Bloomberg survey of investors and analysts. Of the 17 survey participants, eight forecasts a devaluation of between 5% and 10% this year. Five saw a devaluation of more than 10% and the remaining four predicted a markdown of as much as 5%….

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Crypto Markets Show More Signs of Excess Amid Bitcoin Rebound

Crypto Markets Show More Signs of Excess Amid Bitcoin Rebound

LAGOS (Capital Markets in Africa) — In financial markets filled to the brim with froth, one of the more speculative corners is showing signs of bubbling yet again. Bitcoin rebounded from its sharp sell-off last week which saw prices plunge more than 12%, the steepest weekly drop since last March. The digital asset bounced back from below $30,000 Friday to trade around $34,400 as of 10:22 a.m. Monday in New York. “It’s a little bit…

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South African Stocks Post Biggest Drop This Month on Tencent Effect

South African Stocks Post Biggest Drop This Month on Tencent Effect

JOHANNESBURG (Capital Markets in Africa) — South Africa’s main stocks index declined 1% by 9:53 a.m. in Johannesburg, the biggest intraday decline in 2021, after a slump in Tencent Holdings Ltd. in Hong Kong pulled benchmark giant Naspers Ltd. and its subsidiary, Prosus NV, lower. Tencent lost as much as 6.7% in Hong Kong on Tuesday, as traders took profit after Monday’s 11% surge, which was Tencent’s biggest in almost a decade. Investors were also…

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Nigeria’s Record Stock Rally Fails to Lure Foreign Investors

Nigeria’s Record Stock Rally Fails to Lure Foreign Investors

LAGOS (Capital Markets in Africa) — Nigeria’s equity rally is yet to catch the attention of foreign investors wounded by failed attempts to repatriate gains made on earlier investments. The stock market rose 50% last year driven by pension funds avoiding negative real yields in fixed-income debts after they were locked out of buying high-yielding central bank papers. Offshore investors largely stayed out of the market after the central bank failed to supply enough dollars…

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JPMorgan Says U.S. Approval of ETF Could Hurt Bitcoin Near Term

JPMorgan Says U.S. Approval of ETF Could Hurt Bitcoin Near Term

LAGOS (Capital Markets in Africa) — U.S. approval of a Bitcoin exchange-traded fund could weigh on the digital coin’s price in the short term, according to JPMorgan Chase & Co. That’s because competition from such a vehicle could spark outflows from the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust, the world’s largest traded cryptocurrency fund. The ETF would erode the Grayscale trust’s effective monopoly, sparking outflows and a slide in its premium to net asset value — which in turn…

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South African Stocks Slip From Record as Global Rally Pauses

South African Stocks Slip From Record as Global Rally Pauses

JOHANNESBURG (Capital Markets in Africa) — South Africa’s main stocks index edged lower, retreating from Friday’s record close and set to fall for the first day in six. Mining stocks were among those dragging most on the market, giving up more of their recent rally. An index of mining stocks, up 12% already this year, retreated for a second session as diversified giant Anglo American Plc dropped 0.9% and BHP Group Plc fell 0.5%. A…

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Outlook Bleak for Nigeria Bonds With Real Yields Firmly Negative

Outlook Bleak for Nigeria Bonds With Real Yields Firmly Negative

LAGOS (Capital Markets in Africa) — Negative real yields have sapped demand for naira bonds, and that’s unlikely to change over the coming months as the central bank keeps its policy rate low to boost economic growth. Returns on Nigerian local-currency bonds fell 14% in December after soaring 66% in the previous 11 months, according to a Bloomberg index tracking the debt, as investors snapped up yields that were in double digits for most of the year….

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