Pound’s World-Topping Rally Wobbles as Market Braces for Swings

Pound’s World-Topping Rally Wobbles as Market Braces for Swings

LONDON (Capital Markets in Africa) – The pound swung between gains and losses as British voters headed to the polls to decide between Conservatives hoping to deliver Brexit in January and a Labour Party promising a second referendum. Bets on overnight volatility in sterling surged to the highest in nearly three years and traders hedged the risk of a surprise outcome in options markets. The currency has been the world’s best performer in recent months, on speculation…

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The $11 Trillion Emerging-Markets Rally Has Big Backing for 2020

The $11 Trillion Emerging-Markets Rally Has Big Backing for 2020

LAGOS (Capital Markets in Africa) – Emerging markets are about to embark on another year of wealth creation after adding $11 trillion to investor portfolios in the past decade. Developing-nation assets will outperform their developed peers, with Asia having the best prospects, according to Bloomberg’s survey of 57 global investors, strategists and traders on their outlook for next year. Total wealth in emerging-market stocks and bonds now exceeds $25 trillion, bigger than the economies of the U.S. and Germany combined….

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Pound Drops From 8-Month High as Tory Lead Shrinks in Key Poll

Pound Drops From 8-Month High as Tory Lead Shrinks in Key Poll

LONDON (Capital Markets in Africa) – The pound fell from an eight-month high after a poll that successfully predicted the 2017 vote suggested the Conservative party will win a smaller majority than earlier predicted in Thursday’s election. Sterling slid as much as 0.4% after the YouGov poll indicated Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s party will gain a majority of 28, compared with 68 projected two weeks ago. Currency markets were already jittery ahead of a number of risk events in…

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Pound’s Winning Streak Against Euro Gains Fuel on Election Poll

Pound’s Winning Streak Against Euro Gains Fuel on Election Poll

LONDON (Capital Markets in Africa) – The pound headed for a fourth month of gains against the euro, reflecting growing confidence in the market that the Conservative Party will be able to secure a majority in the U.K.’s December election. Sterling outperformed all major currencies after a much-anticipated poll released Wednesday evening suggested that Boris Johnson’s party is on track to win its biggest mandate since the 1980s. That is the best scenario for investors betting on the…

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Sibanye and Harmony Vie for AngloGold’s South African Assets

Sibanye and Harmony Vie for AngloGold’s South African Assets

LAGOS (Capital Markets in Africa)  – AngloGold Ashanti Ltd. has narrowed the list of bidders for its remaining South African assets to two of the nation’s largest gold miners, according to people familiar with the matter. AngloGold is evaluating offers from Sibanye Gold Ltd. and Harmony Gold Mining Co., said the people, who asked not to be identified because the information is private. The initial interest shown by other companies has waned, and Sibanye and Harmony are the only…

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For U.K. Housebuilder Stocks, Election Is Still All About Brexit

For U.K. Housebuilder Stocks, Election Is Still All About Brexit

LONDON (Capital Markets in Africa) – Uncertainty, uncertainty and more uncertainty. For investors in U.K. home builders, the word has been a bane for more than three years as the industry contends with the hit to consumer confidence caused by Britain’s prolonged departure from the European Union. Now there is an election coming and investors in the sector are hoping for a Conservative victory to help solidify this year’s rally, which has seen big players…

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Treasury Yields May Trail GDP for Decades in Debt-Trap Fallout

Treasury Yields May Trail GDP for Decades in Debt-Trap Fallout

LONDON (Capital Markets in Africa) – Benchmark Treasury yields have trailed U.S. nominal growth rates for almost a decade — and will continue to do so for at least into the 2040s as the nation’s debt mounts, according to Deutsche Bank AG’s Jim Reid. Fiscal policy will play a bigger role in supporting future growth in the world’s largest economy, entailing more borrowings, and monetary policy would need to keep interest rates capped to help ease…

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